Estève (BUR, Defender, £4.0m)

Verdict: HOLD

The Reasoning

Recent Performance: Blanked in gameweek 2 after a 6-pointer in gameweek 1. Early season form is always a bit volatile, so let's not overreact.
Upcoming Fixtures: Tough run coming up with MUN (A), LIV (H), and NFO (H). Estève's attacking threat might be limited against these sides, but Burnley's defense could still offer some clean sheet potential.
Underlying Stats: Decent ICT index (5.9) suggests involvement. His threat (17.0) is higher than creativity (1.6), indicating he's more likely to contribute defensively than with assists. Influence (40.4) is a positive sign.
Long-Term View: Last season's stats (15 points, 1310 minutes) show he's a regular starter, but his attacking output was low. We need to see more before judging his ceiling this season.

Risks

Rotation risk is always present with Burnley's squad depth. The upcoming fixtures are a significant concern, potentially impacting his points haul.

Alternative Options

Botman (NEW, £4.5m): Solid defender in a strong Newcastle team. Chilwell (CHE, £5.0m): High-potential attacking threat if Chelsea's attack clicks.

The Strategic Play

Estève is a low-cost option with some upside, but the upcoming fixtures are a major concern. Hold for now to monitor his form and Burnley's defensive solidity. He's more of a long-term hold if Burnley prove defensively sound, but a short-term punt if they struggle. Consider alternatives if his form doesn't improve.

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