Wood (NFO, Forward, £7.7m)

Verdict: BUY

The Reasoning

Recent Performance: 13 points last gameweek, a haul! Following a slightly quieter first gameweek, he's shown excellent form. Two goals in two games is a great start.
Upcoming Fixtures: Next three: WHU (H, 2), ARS (A, 4), BUR (A, 2). A decent run, with a tricky Arsenal game sandwiched between two more favourable matchups. His goal-scoring potential makes him a good pick even against tougher opposition.
Underlying Stats: High ICT index (14.5) shows he's involved in the game. Excellent threat (67.0) and decent influence (66.2) suggest he's a key attacking player for Forest. Creativity is a bit lower, but his goalscoring more than compensates.
Long-Term View: Last season was exceptional (20 goals, 200 points). While replicating that might be tough, it shows his potential and ability to deliver big points consistently. This early-season form is a great sign.

Risks

Rotation is always a risk with forwards, but his current form makes it unlikely. Keep an eye on team news, but he looks nailed on for now.

Alternative Options

No clear alternatives at this price point currently outperforming Wood's recent form and underlying stats.

The Strategic Play

Wood is a strong buy. His current form, underlying stats, and favourable upcoming fixtures (aside from Arsenal) make him a great long-term hold for the next 3-4 gameweeks. He's a captaincy differential worth considering if he keeps this up. BUY.

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